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Kentucky Derby Preview: Cox to Sends Out Formidable Duo

Trainers Bob Baffert, Riley Mott, and Doug O'Neill also run multiple horses.

Renegade trains at Churchill Downs

Renegade trains at Churchill Downs

Anne M. Eberhardt

Pull up the record books or pass signage around Churchill Downs, and there is evidence of Brad Cox as a Kentucky Derby (G1) winner, having trained Juddmonte's Mandaloun , the official 2021 victor.

Cox just didn't get to savor it, having been awarded the win upon the formal disqualification of the Bob Baffert-trained Medina Spirit for a long-contested medication violation, a move that elevated Mandaloun from second to first.

"Obviously, there was no thrill of victory," Cox said.

On May 2 in the 152nd Derby, the Louisville, Ky., native has one of his best subsequent chances to secure a more satisfying triumph. He will send out two of the favorites in the 1 1/4-mile classic for 3-year-olds: Spendthrift Farm's Blue Grass Stakes (G1) winner Further Ado and Wathnan Racing's Florida Derby (G1) winner Commandment—co-second choices at 6-1 on the morning line behind Todd Pletcher's 4-1 favorite Renegade. Cox had been scheduled to run a third starter, Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3) winner Fulleffort, but the latter was scratched due to a chipped hind ankle.

Cox's contenders got an assist at the draw when Renegade, the Arkansas Derby (G1) winner for Repole Stable and Robert and Lawana Low, landed the rail—an intimidating starting position in a 20-horse race from which no horse has won since Ferdinand in 1986.

Cox, asked about his thoughts on Renegade drawing that post, quipped, "Better him than us."

He noted, however, that Hit Show broke from the rail in 2023 and managed a clean trip before finishing fifth—evidence in his view that not every horse starting from the fence becomes buried in the 20-horse race.

Commandment wins the 2026 Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park
Photo: Coglianese Photos
Commandment (outside) edges The Puma and Chief Wallabee in the Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park

Since 2020, Churchill Downs has used a continuous 20-horse gate, positioned farther from the inside than during the former dual-gate setup.

Pletcher, flying to Kentucky when posts were drawn, joked he reached for an air-sickness bag upon hearing the news. It marks the third time since 2021 that one of his horses has drawn inside. Known Agenda  (2021) and Mo Donegal  (2022) finished eighth and fifth, respectively, both under Irad Ortiz Jr., who rides Renegade.

Pletcher, a dual Derby winner and Hall of Famer, speculated that experience from Ortiz in those races may leave the jockey knowing "a little bit of what to expect. Could be helpful, I don't know."

Ortiz, a five-time Eclipse award winner who chose a few weeks ago to ride Renegade rather than Further Ado in the Derby, has yet to hit the board in nine mounts in the race, the most difficult race in North America to win. Three-time Derby winner and Hall of Famer John Velazquez secures the mount on Further Ado.

Asked if he believes Renegade can overcome the rail draw, Pletcher replied, "I do," citing the colt's finishing ability and acceleration.

Further Ado drew post 18, but as of 10 a.m. May 1, he was slated to start from post 16 due to two horses—Right to Party and Silent Tactic—being scratched inside of him, moving him inward in the starting gate. Those defections, as well as Fulleffort's scratch, have allowed longshots Great White, Ocelli, and Robusta to draw into the race. They occupy the three outermost post positions in Saturday's 20-horse field.

Horses preparing for the Kentucky Derby and other Derby week races have been under close regulatory veterinarian scrutiny, undergoing examinations and, at times, diagnostic tests.

Video

Records could be made in the race—Renegade, Commandment, and San Felipe Stakes (G2) winner and $2.4 million yearling purchase Potente—are sons of Spendthrift Farm's seven-time leading sire Into Mischief . A victory from any of them would make him the only stallion to sire four Derby winners.

History could also be made by human participants.

Baffert, another Hall of Famer, also has an opportunity this year to stand alone as the winningest Derby trainer. A victory from either Potente (20-1) or Litmus Test (50-1) would give him a seventh Derby, breaking his current six-win tie with the late Ben Jones. Potente comes off a second-place finish to the Mark Glatt-trained So Happy in the Santa Anita Derby (G1), who pounced under a stalking ride from Mike Smith.

The 59-year-old Smith, a two-time Derby winner, can break Bill Shoemaker's record as the oldest jockey to win the Derby. The late Shoemaker was 54 when he won his fourth Derby aboard Ferdinand 40 years ago.

READ: Smith, 59, in Pursuit of Derby History Aboard So Happy

Litmus Test is one of two horses adding blinkers for Saturday's Derby, joined by Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) runner-up and Florida Derby third-place finisher Chief Wallabee. The lightly raced Constitution  colt has turned heads while breezing in the equipment at Churchill Downs for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott 

Mott and Junior Alvarado, who teamed to win the 2025 Derby with Godolphin's Sovereignty, attempt to go back-to-back. Baffert was the last trainer to win consecutive Derbies when Real Quiet in 1998 followed a win from Silver Charm in 1997. Victor Espinoza is the last rider to post two straight Derby wins, striking with California Chrome  in 2014 and a year later with American Pharaoh, who would go on to win the Triple Crown.

When Mott looks across the paddock this year before the Derby while saddling Mike and Katherine Ball's Chief Wallabee, he will see his son, Riley, preparing to run Incredibolt and Albus, both owned by Pin Oak Stud.

READ: Bittersweet Time for Pin Oak Stud as Derby Approaches

"We'll have to face off. Obviously, I've got to try to beat him on Saturday," the elder Mott said.

A father and son training opposing horses in the same Derby hasn't happened since 1964, when Red Wingfield's Dandy K finished eighth, and Bobby Wingfield's Wil Rad was 10th.

As in other recent Derbies, there is an international presence. This year's race includes two Japanese-trained horses in Danon Bourbon and Wonder Dean, plus the Dubai-based Six Speed.

Post time for the Kentucky Derby, Saturday's 12th race, is 6:57 p.m. ET. A crowd of about 140,000 or more is anticipated at Churchill Downs, and millions will watch the race on national television. NBC will broadcast the Derby and many of the day's major races.

Dry conditions are forecast for Saturday, with cool afternoon temperatures in the upper 50s.

Entries: Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (G1)

Churchill Downs, Saturday, May 2, 2026, Race 12

  • Grade I
  • 1 1/4m
  • Dirt
  • $5,000,000
  • 3 yo
  • 6:57 PM (local)
PPHorseJockeyWgtTrainerM/L
11Renegade (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateIrad Ortiz, Jr.126Todd A. Pletcher4/1
22Albus (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateManuel Franco126Riley Mott30/1
33Intrepido (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateHector Isaac Berrios126Jeff Mullins50/1
44Litmus Test (KY)Martin Garcia126Bob Baffert50/1
55Right to Party (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateChristopher Elliott126Kenneth G. McPeek30/1
66Commandment (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateLuis Saez126Brad H. Cox6/1
77Danon Bourbon (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateAtsuya Nishimura126Manabu Ikezoe20/1
88So Happy (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateMike E. Smith126Mark Glatt15/1
99The Puma (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateJavier Castellano126Gustavo Delgado10/1
1010Wonder Dean (JPN)Ryusei Sakai126Daisuke Takayanagi30/1
1111Incredibolt (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateJaime A. Torres126Riley Mott20/1
1212Chief Wallabee (KY)Junior Alvarado126William I. Mott8/1
1313Silent Tactic (KY)Cristian A. Torres126Mark E. Casse20/1
1414Potente (KY)Juan J. Hernandez126Bob Baffert20/1
1515Emerging Market (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateFlavien Prat126Chad C. Brown15/1
1616Pavlovian (CA)Edwin A. Maldonado126Doug F. O'Neill30/1
1717Six Speed (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateBrian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.126Bhupat Seemar50/1
1818Further Ado (KY)Keeneland Sales GraduateJohn R. Velazquez126Brad H. Cox6/1
1919Golden Tempo (KY)Jose L. Ortiz126Cherie DeVaux30/1
2020Fulleffort (KY)Tyler Gaffalione126Brad H. Cox20/1
2121Great White (KY)Alex Achard126John Ennis50/1
2222Ocelli (KY)Joseph D. Ramos126D. Whitworth Beckman50/1
2323Robusta (KY)Emisael Jaramillo126Doug F. O'Neill50/1
2424Corona de Oro (KY)Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.126Dallas Stewart50/1